Reagan Dunn Leads Incumbent and All Republicans in New 8th Congressional District Poll
Moore Information, a respected polling firm based out of Portland, OR, released the first poll to test the newly configured 8th Congressional District. The poll, conducted last week, shows Reagan easily leading a field of Republican candidates in the primary by more than a 2-1 margin. More importantly, Reagan currently leads Democrat incumbent Kim Schrier by 4 percent in her own district.
Read more details in a memo released by Moore Information below.
November 29, 2021
TO: | Interested Parties |
FROM: | Hans Kaiser, Moore Information Group |
RE: | WA CD 08 Survey Results |
Results of our recent survey in Washington’s newly created 8th Congressional District show Reagan Dunn leading all Republicans by a better than two-to-one margin and leading incumbent Kim Schrier in the head-to-head general election ballot test by a margin of 40% to 36%.
General Election: Reagan Dunn leads Kim Schrier in a two-way race 40% to 36%. Both Dunn and Schrier gain equal support from voters in their respective parties; however, Dunn holds an overall advantage over Schrier thanks to an 11-point lead with Independents. Furthermore, among voters who are aware of both Dunn and Schrier, Dunn’s lead grows to 9 points (47-38%).
“Now, if the general election for U.S. Congress was held today…” | |
Reagan Dunn, Prefers Republican Party | 40% |
Kim Schrier, Prefers Democratic Party | 36% |
Don’t know/neither | 25% |
2020 GOP nominee Jesse Jensen not only trails Dunn in the primary but also trails Schrier by a point in the two-way general election ballot (37% to 38%).
“Now, if the general election for U.S. Congress was held today…” | |
Kim Schrier, Prefers Democratic Party | 38% |
Jesse Jensen, Prefers Republican Party | 37% |
Don’t know/neither | 25% |
GOP Primary: Today Dunn is in second place in the primary with 11% of the vote with several other Republicans in the race.
“Thinking about the primary election for U.S. Congress in August 2022, if the primary election was held today and the candidates were … for whom would you vote?” | |
Kim Schrier, Prefers Democratic Party | 30% |
Reagan Dunn, Prefers Republican Party | 11% |
Justin Greywolf, Prefers Independent | 7% |
Jesse Jensen, Prefers Republican Party | 5% |
Matt Larkin, Prefers Republican Party | 5% |
Matthew Overton, Prefers Republican Party | 1% |
Don’t know/none | 41% |
Additionally, among Republicans Dunn is getting 21% of the vote while 2020 GOP nominee Jesse Jensen sits at 10% among GOPers. Matt Larkin, another Republican candidate, also receives 10% of the GOP vote and Republican Matthew Overton has 2% with that group.
Still a long way to go in this election but today Reagan Dunn is not only in a position to advance to the general election against Kim Schrier but he actually leads her in a head-to-head matchup.
Methodology: This live caller survey was conducted by Moore Information Group, November 18, 20-21, 2021, among a representative sample of 400 voters in Washington’s newly redistricted 8th Congressional District. The potential sampling error is plus or minus 5% at the 95% confidence level.